The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Office of the director of national intelligence 1,897 views 11. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations. The numbers have been rounded up to the closest hundredth or thousandth for the purposes of this report. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. The nic global trends 2030 report another good reason to. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697. Governance is getting harder, and the nature of power is changing. The national intelligence council commissioned a report for upcoming global trends out to the year 2030.
On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest. Although global trends 2030 gt2030 involved a global process of consultation, the report retains a u. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of this.
Annual report to congress on the safety and security of russian nuclear facilities and. Alternative worlds report identifies key metatrends that will shape the future international system, including the. I found global trends 2030 to be sometimes a disturbing but always a fascinating read. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 14 focus on security. In this volume, they expanded their coverage of disruptive technologies, devoting a separate section. The raw material from which the global trends 2030 report was derived came from commissioned papers, workshops, interviews, and feedbackall largely qualitative. The national intelligence councils nic justreleased global trends 2030. Intelligence report predicts it in 2030, a world of. This time period affords the incoming or returning president and senior staff the opportunity to weigh the reports judgments and lay the groundwork to address longrange. Publications as part of its mission to find a common security culture for the eu, to help develop and project the cfsp, and to enrich europes strategic debate, the institute regularly releases publications on the topics and regions at the core of the unions work. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Anyone who has ever seen the tv reality series doomsday preppers knows that the reasoning behind peoples motives can be somewhat extreme, with fear of asteroids or massive volcanic eruptions. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report posted by globaltrends2030. As with the nics national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an.
This is the first time the nic has jointly developed and produced an unclassified report with a nonus body. For a more extensive list of relevant research and analysis see the climate security research hub. As with the nics national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we do not seek to. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. The national intelligence councils global trends 2030 report predicts that by the year 2030, a majority of the worlds population will be out of poverty. A few weeks back, on one of my many flights, i had an opportunity to read global trends 2030.
In addition, a number of quantitative models were used to put numbers behind the ideas that came from the consultants. It may look like a report, but it is really an invitation, an invitation to discuss. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Although the 2016 version hasnt been made public yet, the principle author of global trends 2030 wrote a very detailed update to his previous work called global risks 2035.
Global trends represents how the nic is thinking about the future. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. We look forward to your insightful thoughts and discussions on themes around the upcoming global trends 2030 report to be published later this year. A publication of the national intelligence council global trends january 2017. The longer 160page report can be downloaded in pdf, ipad and kindle formats here. Global trends to 2035 5 executive summary section 1. As with the nic s national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we do not seek to.
There are many reasons that people find themselves prepping these days. Trends since 2015 in 2015, the european strategy and policy analysis system espas launched its report global trends to 2030. F or the most part, the statistics in the 2010 global trends have been reported by unhcr country offices, based on government sources, reports from nongovernmental organizations and unhcrs registration activities. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast.
The sixth edition of global strategic trends, published by the development, concepts and doctrine centre, describes a future context for defence and security out to 2050. The climate security chronology lists significant policy documents, reports and events by year. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project, january 2005. Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file. Although reading trends 2030 is helpful, risks 2035 can be read alone. Burrows, counselor, us national intelligence council. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is completely unclassified. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence councilled effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Every four or five years, the us national intelligence council nic publishes a global trends report. The nic as well as other organizations in the european union eu, russia, and north atlantic treaty organization nato have conducted such reports about global trends and the future world of 2030. The majority of that uncertainty at the global level comes from uncertainty in the projected 6. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report author.
Global trends 2030 rapport du national intelligence council. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. Publications european union institute for security studies. The global governance 2025 project is innovative in many respects. How to read the national intelligence councils latest. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. The last report, which was released in 2012, was global trends 2030. Nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the. Alternative worlds, a publication of the national intelligence council nic. Global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. Intelligence community, national intelligence council the national intelligence strategy of the united states of america, national. The raw material from which the global trends 2030 report was derived. The report, otherwise comprehensive and well written, misses or underemphasizes some critical aspects.
The nics most recent global trends report, global trends. This report aims to update and extend that report by. Global governance 2025 provides an important step with a view to future joint. This detailed work has dozens of indepth blog posts, by experts in their fields. Climate change is the most important issue that the gt2030 downplays. Global trends the hilton prize coalition global impact. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Yesterday the national intelligence council nic, which is made up of 17 u. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Policy planners in the us foresaw a series of individual, society, state, and globallevel megatrends. Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. Nic 2004 report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004.
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